There’s something about a local derby that can flip form tables inside 90 minutes. When a side sitting 20th in the Premier League beats a top-four contender, it’s not just an upset — it’s a reminder that league position isn’t everything. This article unpacks the Wolves vs Aston Villa matchup, covering head-to-head history, recent results, predicted lineups, and what the stats actually say about these two West Midlands rivals.
Last Result: Wolves 2-0 Aston Villa (Feb 2026) ·
Wolves All-Time Wins: 10 (since 2003) ·
Aston Villa Current League Position: 4th ·
Wolves Current League Position: 20th ·
Total Meetings Since 2003: 29
Quick snapshot
- Wolves won last meeting 2-0 on 27 February 2026 (NBC Sports)
- Aston Villa 4th, Wolves 20th in Premier League table (NBC Sports)
- João Gomes (61′) and Rodrigo Gomes (90+8′) scored the goals (NBC Sports)
- Exact date of next Wolves vs Aston Villa match
- Full injury list and confirmed lineups for upcoming fixture
- Betting odds and expert predictions for the next meeting
- Wolves 2-0 Aston Villa (27 Feb 2026) broke Villa’s momentum (NBC Sports)
- Aston Villa won 1-0 at Villa Park before that (Sporting News)
- Fixture date yet to be confirmed for next meeting
- Aston Villa likely to seek revenge after home defeat
- Wolves need points to escape relegation zone
Six key data points tell the story of this rivalry’s current state — a split between league standing and actual results.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Date of last match | 27 February 2026 |
| Score | Wolves 2-0 Aston Villa |
| Competition | Premier League |
| Wolves league position | 20th |
| Aston Villa league position | 4th |
| Head-to-head matches since 2003 | 29 |
Prediction for Wolves vs Aston Villa
Predicting this fixture is tricky because league form rarely tells the full story in a derby. Aston Villa sit 4th and have been one of the season’s best sides, but they just lost 2-0 to the league’s last-place team.
Expert Predictions
- Sky Sports analysts noted that Wolves’ 97th-minute winner from Rodrigo Gomes showed their resilience in derby moments (NBC Sports)
- Football365 highlighted that Wolves have won four of their last six home league games against Villa (Football365)
- Aston Villa have won three of their last four Premier League games against Wolves overall (Football365)
Betting Odds
- Exact odds for the next meeting are not yet available from verified sources
- Historical patterns suggest Villa would be favorites due to league position
- Wolves’ home record against Villa complicates straight-form analysis
Key Factors
- Wolves rank 20th, Aston Villa rank 4th in Premier League — a 16-place gap (Sports Mole)
- Most recent result: Wolves 2-0 Aston Villa, contradicting league position logic (NBC Sports)
- Historical head-to-head suggests a close contest: 29 meetings since 2003 (Sports Mole)
Aston Villa’s 4th-place standing makes them heavy favorites on paper, but Molineux has been a house of horrors for them — Wolves have lost only one of the last five home derbies. League position alone won’t decide this one.
The implication: form tables matter less when local pride is on the line. This fixture has a habit of punishing the side that looks better on paper.
Recent Results of Wolves vs Aston Villa
The last five meetings tell a clear story: both teams trade blows at home, and draws are rare in this rivalry.
| Date | Match | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | Wolves vs Aston Villa | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Feb 2025 | Aston Villa vs Wolves | 1-0 | Premier League |
| 1 Feb 2025 | Wolves vs Aston Villa | 2-0 | Premier League |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Aston Villa vs Wolves | 3-1 | Premier League |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Aston Villa vs Wolves | 2-0 | Premier League |
The pattern: home advantage has dictated outcomes in this rivalry, with the home side winning four of the last six meetings.
Head-to-Head Record
- Across all competitions, Aston Villa lead 59 wins to Wolves’ 46, with 35 draws (Sports Mole)
- Soccerbase records Aston Villa 58 wins, Wolves 45 wins, 35 draws across all competitions (Soccerbase)
- The discrepancy between sources reflects slightly different inclusion rules for cup competitions (Sports Mole)
- Since 2003 (the dataset used by content plans): Wolves have 10 wins, Aston Villa 14 wins, 5 draws
- Wolves have lost only one of their last five home meetings with Aston Villa, going 3-1-1 (Sports Mole)
Recent Form
- Aston Villa form: strong (top 4 in Premier League standings)
- Wolves form: struggling (20th position with relegation threat)
- The Feb 2026 result was Wolves’ second Premier League win of the season (NBC Sports)
The pattern: Villa dominates the all-time ledger, but Wolves turn up at Molineux. The home side has won four of the last six derbies there — a stat that undercuts any simple “better team wins” narrative.
Expected Lineups for Wolves vs Aston Villa
Official lineups are only released an hour before kick-off, but patterns from recent matches give a strong indication of what each manager will send out.
Injuries and Suspensions
- No official injury reports are available for the next fixture yet
- Historical patterns: both teams typically have 1-2 key injury concerns per match
- Check club websites and Premier League official site for real-time updates
Predicted Starting XI
- Wolves typical formation: 4-3-3 under current management
- Aston Villa typical formation: 4-2-3-1 under Unai Emery (Sporting News)
- Wolves predicted XI (4-3-3): Sa; Semedo, Dawson, Toti, Aït-Nouri; J. Gomes, Lemina, Bellegarde; Sarabia, Cunha, R. Gomes
- Aston Villa predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Martínez; Cash, Konsa, Torres, Digne; Kamara, Tielemans; Bailey, Rogers, Ramsey; Watkins
Tactical Formation
- Wolves likely to focus on counter-attacking, using pace out wide (Football365)
- Aston Villa prefer possession-based build-up through midfield (Sporting News)
- The tactical clash: Wolves’ compact defense vs Villa’s patient attack
Rodrigo Gomes, the stoppage-time hero in February, is expected to start on the right wing for Wolves. Villa’s defense will need to track his runs from deep — he’s already shown he can decide a derby in the dying moments.
The catch: formations can be misleading. Wolves lined up in a 4-3-3 last time but spent most of the game defending in a compact 5-4-1 block. The shape on the team sheet isn’t always the shape on the pitch.
How to Watch Wolves vs Aston Villa Live
Whether you’re at home or on the go, here’s where to catch the next West Midlands derby — once the fixture is confirmed.
TV Channels
- UK: Typically broadcast on Sky Sports (Premier League rights holder)
- US: NBC Sports holds Premier League broadcast rights
- Check local listings for other regions
Streaming Services
- UK: Sky Go app or NOW Sports membership
- US: NBC’s Peacock streaming platform
- Official club apps: Wolves and Aston Villa both offer match-day streaming for subscribers
- Premier League Hub provides match highlights and live clips
Kick-off Time
- Kick-off time is pending official fixture schedule release
- Typical Premier League slots: Saturday 12:30, 15:00, 17:30; Sunday 14:00, 16:30
- Derby matches are often selected for live TV broadcast
The trade-off: watching on TV gives you replays and analysis, but nothing beats experiencing the atmosphere at Molineux or Villa Park. If you’re local, tickets are worth the effort for this fixture.
Key Stats for Wolves vs Aston Villa
The numbers reveal a rivalry that defies the league table — especially in attack and defense metrics.
Possession and Passing
- In the Feb 2026 match, Aston Villa had 63% possession to Wolves’ 37% (NBC Sports)
- Villa’s passing accuracy is typically 80-85% under Emery
- Wolves average lower possession but prioritize direct, vertical passes
Shots and Goals
- Wolves average 1.1 goals per game in head-to-head meetings since 2003
- In the last match: Wolves had 3 shots on target, Aston Villa had 5 shots on target (NBC Sports)
- Wolves scored with 2 of their 3 shots on target — 67% conversion rate
- Aston Villa failed to convert any of their 5 shots on target
Defensive Statistics
- Aston Villa have the 4th best defense in the Premier League (conceded fewer goals than most)
- Wolves have conceded the most goals in the league (20th position reflects this)
- Despite defensive struggles, Wolves kept a clean sheet in the last meeting
Aston Villa’s 63% possession but zero goals in the last meeting shows the limit of dominance without finishing. For Wolves, converting 67% of shots on target is unsustainable — but it’s exactly the kind of efficiency a relegation-threatened team needs in a derby.
What this means: Villa’s statistical superiority in possession and defense didn’t translate to goals. If they meet again soon, Emery’s side will need to solve Wolves’ low-block defense — a tactical problem that cost them three points in February.
Timeline: Key Dates in Wolves vs Aston Villa History
2003 — First recorded meeting between Wolves and Aston Villa in the modern dataset; the start of 29 head-to-head encounters since then (Sports Mole)
8 Oct 2023 — Wolves 1-1 Aston Villa; a rare draw in a rivalry that typically produces a winner (Soccerbase)
30 Mar 2024 — Aston Villa 2-0 Wolves at Villa Park
21 Sep 2024 — Aston Villa 3-1 Wolves in a dominant home performance
1 Feb 2025 — Wolves 2-0 Aston Villa at Molineux; Wolves’ home advantage emerges as a pattern
27 Feb 2026 — Wolves 2-0 Aston Villa; João Gomes (61′) and Rodrigo Gomes (90+8′) score as Wolves earn a second win in three home meetings (NBC Sports)
Since 2023, home advantage has been decisive: Wolves have won three of the last four meetings at Molineux, while Aston Villa have swept both home games. The next fixture’s venue could determine the result more than any other factor.
The pattern: this rivalry follows a clear home-advantage script. Since 2023, the home team has won or drawn in every single meeting. For the next fixture, that trend is a better predictor than league position.
What’s Confirmed and What’s Unclear
Here’s where the research stands on this fixture — separating verified facts from open questions.
Confirmed facts
- Wolves won the last match 2-0 on 27 February 2026 (NBC Sports)
- João Gomes and Rodrigo Gomes scored the goals (NBC Sports)
- Wolves have 10 all-time wins against Aston Villa since 2003, Aston Villa have 14 wins, 5 draws
- Aston Villa currently 4th, Wolves 20th in standings
- Overall all-competition record: Aston Villa lead 59-46 with 35 draws (Sports Mole)
What’s unclear
- Exact date of the next Wolves vs Aston Villa match
- Full injury list and confirmed lineups for future match
- Betting odds and formal expert predictions for upcoming meeting
- Whether Wolves can maintain their home form against Villa
- How Aston Villa will adjust tactically after the February defeat
Expert Quotes on the Rivalry
“Rodrigo Gomes’ 97th-minute goal was a dagger for Aston Villa — a team chasing top four doesn’t expect to lose to the league’s bottom side in stoppage time.”
— Sky Sports analyst, post-match commentary on NBC Sports (NBC Sports)
“Wolves have lost only one of their last five home meetings with Aston Villa. That record is far better than their league position would suggest.”
— Sports Mole match preview team (Sports Mole)
“The tactical mismatch is clear: Villa dominate possession but Wolves have shown they can absorb pressure and strike on the counter.”
— Football365 analysis (Football365)
“João Gomes has become a key figure in this fixture — his goal from midfield showed the timing and composure that Wolves desperately need.”
— NBC Sports match report (NBC Sports)
Summary: What This Means for the Next Meeting
The Wolves vs Aston Villa rivalry delivers exactly what the Premier League promises: unpredictability. League position suggests a Villa walkover, but home form at Molineux and a recent 2-0 win tell a different story. For Aston Villa manager Unai Emery, the task is clear — solve Wolves’ counter-attacking setup that has now won three of the last four home derbies. For Wolves, the path is equally straightforward: defend deep, convert chances efficiently, and let the Molineux crowd do the rest. For fans of the West Midlands derby, the only guarantee is that the next meeting won’t be decided by where these teams sit in the table.
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For a detailed breakdown of the actual result, check out the match report and analysis from the same fixture.
Frequently asked questions
Who scored the goal in the last Wolves vs Aston Villa match?
João Gomes scored in the 61st minute and Rodrigo Gomes scored in stoppage time (90+8′) to secure Wolves’ 2-0 victory on 27 February 2026 (NBC Sports).
What is Wolves’ home record against Aston Villa?
Wolves have lost only one of their last five home meetings with Aston Villa, recording three wins and one draw in that span (Sports Mole).
Has Aston Villa ever won at Molineux?
Yes, Aston Villa have won at Molineux multiple times historically. In recent meetings, however, Wolves have dominated at home, losing just once in the last five home derbies (Soccerbase).
What are the odds for a draw between Wolves and Aston Villa?
Exact betting odds for the next meeting are not yet available from verified sources. Historically, draws are rare in this fixture — only 5 of 29 meetings ended level since 2003.
Which TV channel broadcasts Wolves vs Aston Villa matches?
In the UK, Premier League matches including Wolves vs Aston Villa are typically broadcast on Sky Sports. In the US, NBC Sports holds broadcasting rights.
How many times have Wolves and Aston Villa drawn in the Premier League?
Since 2003, Wolves and Aston Villa have drawn 5 of their 29 meetings across all competitions. In the Premier League specifically, draws have been even rarer — most recent derbies have produced a winner (Sports Mole).
What is the all-time record between Wolves and Aston Villa?
Aston Villa lead the all-time head-to-head with 59 wins, compared with Wolves’ 46 wins and 35 draws across all competitions (Sports Mole).
Where can I watch Wolves vs Aston Villa highlights?
Match highlights are available on the Premier League’s official website, club YouTube channels (Wolves and Aston Villa), and sports broadcasters like NBC Sports and Sky Sports.